News, notes, and recapping the week that was for the Phoenix Suns...
Three points. That was the difference between the Phoenix Suns (5-4) being either 6-3 or 7-2 to start the season. They witnessed three brutal game changing shots that led to losses this week and the hope is that something was gained.
The one thing to be gained in these types of emotional losses - character.
In games (or weeks) like this it is always better to come out on the winning end, but these type of losses build team unity and character. As players and coaches the feeling of these losses sting and the feeling lingers. They do not want to feel it again. That is the positive that comes out of these losses.
"The first one, yeah, they were probably upset," Coach Hornacek after the Nets loss. "Two in a row they are probably going to need a couple of days to get it out of their system. That is the way the game goes."
With three days off between games this is a week that could bring the team closer together. They are already a group that plays well together and fights for each other, but losses like this can build character. They can build a foundation. They can help a team grow-up faster than expected. And, they can make a young athletic team with everything to prove, angry.
-16.8 PPG -3.0 RPG -46.3 FG%
How do you lose that kind of a stat-line? Markieff Morris went from Player of the Week to unfortunate sidenote this week. In the two games since winning the honor he put up a paltry 12 points total on 4-17 (23.5%) shooting from the field. This was highlighted by getting a third quarter start against the Nets and producing a -16 plus/minus that loss. What will be in the cards for Markieff this week?
Quote of the Week
"They had (Brook) Lopez out there with a sprained ankle. The guys knew there was a 20 second timeout in there and to just attack him and see if you can make a play. It was a case where he wasn't moving very well." -- Coach Hornacek , candid, honest about the plan of attack in the Nets loss
Surrogate Watch is starting to look a little better as the Suns, Timberwolves, and Pacers have all moved down the standings and up the draft boards. The Suns are in the lottery (weird, but true) and if you are more of a fan of this years prospects than wins this year, this is for you.
Here is a snapshot of the four picks today:
Indiana Pacers (8-1) -- No. T-29 Overall - (Pick to Phoenix based on protections) This is a Hail Mary pick like last year. Take a swing at a guy you like with potential, like Duke sophomore wing Rodney Hood. He can shoot, he can defend, and he is a quality athlete. Think, Bryon Russell or Shandon Anderson type of glue player.
Minnesota Timberwolves (7-4) -- T-No. 22 Overall - (Pick to Phoenix based on protections) The Suns can go a lot of different directions here, but Creighton senior forward Doug McDermott would be a solid pick-up in this spot. Great shooter, craftier and more skilled than given credit for, and a very good rebounder. Think, somewhere between Kyle Korver and Peja Stojakovic.
Phoenix Suns (5-4) -- No. 14 Overall - (Pick stays in Phoenix) This pick winds up in the lottery despite being better than four eastern conference teams. On my updated mock draft this pick would be Kansas guard Wayne Selden. So far this season Selden has displayed great body control, strength, and an ability to make plays from the two. Think, Wesley Matthews.
Washington Wizards (2-7) -- T-No. 2 Overall - (Pick stays in Washington based on protections) The Wizards clearly know what they are doing. They already have John Wall, Bradley Beal, and traded away their 2014 1st Round pick for Marcin Gortat. Or did they... If the balls bounce this way the ‘Zards might have the best young core in the NBA.
Follow along with the 2014 NBA Draft as the season progresses.
Suns History Lesson
November, 23 1994 with the Utah Jazz Jeff Hornacek scored a career high 40 points (still remains his career-high) and went 8-8 from three. At that point, that was an NBA record, before Latrell Sprewell went 9-9 in a game in 2003 removing Hornacek from the record books.
He was the first to do it. He did it with flair. Coach Hornacek was once the BAMF.
Previewing the Week Ahead:
This season the Suns have had a hot and cold schedule, that against non-playoff caliber teams they were hot and against potential playoff teams they were not necessarily cold. In the four games the Suns have gone 1-3 so far with a total margin in those games of +2 because of a decidedly one sided victory against the Blazers early in the season.
Tuesday, November 19th @ Sacramento Kings (2-7)
Wednesday, November 20th vs. Sacramento Kings (2-7)
Friday, November 22nd @ Charlotte Bobcats (5-5)
Sunday, November 24th @ Orlando Magic (4-6)
With this schedule there are a few teams hovering around .500 that might pose some trouble for the Suns, but they could also have a big 4-0 week to get things back on track.
The Kings are one of four teams that are taking this upcoming draft very serious. They won the first game of the season and since then have gone 1-7 playing a fairly tough schedule early on. This week they trade venues with a home-and-home with the Suns before they hit the road for a three game east coast road trip.
This week will do one of three things: One, it will get the Suns back on track with three or four wins. Two, drop them back down to earth with three or four losses. And, three, remain a team hovering around .500 which is what this team has felt like through the first nine games of the season.
The Phoenix Suns had been cheating death through the first two weeks of the NBA season, but last week they were scythed. Speaking of dead things, I exhume some information from the beginning of last season... and find some
disturbing interesting parallels.
It's really hard to use a simple set of criteria to define what a close game is. For the sake of this I will use within 5 points with less than five minutes to go (sort of). But that isn't always a close game... A team could score to cut it to five with 4:30 to go only to see their opponent nail a three on the ensuing possession and run off 10 straight. Not so close. What if a team is down by 10 plus the entire fourth quarter and then hits a pair of meaningless threes in the last few seconds of the game to lose by five?
A final score within five points can also be prevaricative, as a game could have been tied with two minutes to go before one team pulled away.
Maybe a single score game (three points) in the final three minutes is better? What are your thoughts?
But here's the inadequately insufficient touchstone of the five/five as it relates to the 2012-13 Phoenix Suns.
0-1: Loss vs. Golden St. 87-85 (Suns up by one at 1:43)
1-1: Win vs. Detroit 92-89 (Suns up by five at :52, three at :21 and two at :04)
2-1: Win vs. Charlotte 117-110 (Suns up by four at 3:31 and :31)
3-1: Win vs. Cleveland 107-105 (Suns trailed by one at 1:47)
3-2: Loss vs. Utah 94-81 (Suns trailed by five at 4:46)
4-2: Win vs. Denver 110-100 (Suns up by two at 3:00)
4-3: Loss vs. Chicago 112-106 OT (Suns never led in OT)
The Suns other two losses were blowout affairs emceed by Miami (124-99) and Orlando (115-94). Still, the Suns had been playing, and winning, a lot of close games early in the season. After nine games they sat at 4-5.
At that nine game point a lot of us still felt that the window for the Suns was between 30-40 wins, rife with a pick in the 10-12 range. There was even still a contingent (Jim sheepishly raises hand) claiming that Michael Beasley, and the eventual contretemps this experiment devolved into, should be shown some clemency as it would take some time for him to adjust to his new surroundings. That's still a situation where I defend my logic, but feel like a blithering buffoon for not recognizing an obvious exception. Several early impressions were shattered.
Using just five points or less, the Suns would be just 2-1. It would even cut out the six point overtime loss... because obviously that wasn't close. Using three/three eliminates the Charlotte and Utah games, making the Suns 3-2.
Regardless of the exact criterion, though, these results show that the Suns were performing well in close games.
Fast forward to this year.
1-0: Win vs. Portland 104-91 (Suns up by five at 3:15)
2-0: Win vs. Utah 87-84 (Suns trailed by three at 4:20, Bledsoe game winner at :00.4)
2-1: Loss vs. OKC 103-96 (Suns trailed by one at 4:47, one at :30)
3-1: Win vs. NO 104-98 (Suns up by four at 4:18 and :04)
3-2: Loss vs. SA 99-96 (Suns up by one at :40)
4-2: Win vs. Denver 114-103 (Suns up by four at 1:57)
5-2: Win vs. NO 101-94 (Suns by five at 2:39)
5-3: Loss vs. Portland 90-89 (Suns up by four at 2:30, Lillard game winner at :04)
5-4: Loss vs. Brooklyn 100-98 OT (tied at :56 in OT, Johnson game winner as time expired)
Using the five/five metric all nine of these games would be considered close, and for the most part they have been, but two of the games never got within that five point mark and another never got within four.
Using the games decided by five points stat the Suns would be 1-3. That seems like a fairly preposterous gauge of their performance. But using the three/three they would be even worse (1-4)...
What gives? Well, the other four wins were games where the other team never even got within one possession in the final five minutes. Two ways of looking at it (feel free to add more of your own):
1. The Suns are more confident with an insulator between them and their opponent. Once the other team makes it really tight the Suns lose their equanimity and doubt creeps in. The Suns only have one win, against Utah, when they've trailed in the final five minutes. In these games the Suns are 1-4.
2. The Suns have played well enough in those fourth quarters that their opponents couldn't manage to scrap their way back in. The Suns led from wire to wire down the stretch and showed great poise as closers. In these games the Suns are 4-0.
Speaking of closers, let's look at how Eric Bledsoe has performed in these late game situations to earn the moniker "Mr. Fourth Quarter."
Portland: 2-3 FG, 4-4 FT, 8 points
Utah: 4-9 FG, 2-4 3FG, 7-8 FT, 17 points (14 straight to close game including game winning three)
OKC: 3-8 FG, 1-5 3FG, 3-4 FT, 10 points
NO: 3-3 FG, 4-4 FT, 10 points
SA: 0-3 FG, 0-1 FT, 0 points
Denver: 3-4 FG, 1-1 3FG, 2-2 FT, 9 points
NO: 3-4 FG, 1-1 3FG, 7 points
Portland: 1-7 FG, 2 points
Brooklyn: Fourth quarter: 1-4 FG, 0-3 3FG, 2 points. OT: 0-1 3FG, 0 points
After a parching four games to begin the campaign, EB has been tepid at best. Through four games Bledsoe had scored 45 points on 12-23 shooting. Doubly dazzling was his 18-20 mark from the charity stripe. Add in the surreal performance to close out the Jazz and Blade was playing as well as anyone in the league in crunch time.
Then he tapered off. The next five games produced just 18 points. In fact, Bledsoe had 16 of those in the Suns' two wins during that stretch and only four points in the three losses. Eric is a combined 8-23 (35%) and, maybe most disconcerting, has only attempted three free throws.
In 2012-13, Shannon Brown started off the season as that team's "Mr. Fourth Quarter." He had 10 points against Detroit on 5-8 shooting and went mushroom cloud against the Bobcats with 18 points on 6-8 shooting (and 6-6 from three point range) against Charlotte. Then he had 12 more against Cleveland on 5-7 shooting (with one made three and one made free throw). Then he had eight points on 4-6 shooting against the Nuggets.
After all that the Suns stood at 4-4 and Shannon "The Cannon" Brown had cumulatively scored 48 points in the fourth quarters of the four wins. He was shooting 20-29 from the field (69%). Yes, that actually happened... go check for yourself if you don't believe me. For comparison, Bledsoe's best four scoring totals in the Suns five wins still only netted him 44 points on 12-24 shooting.
The oft maligned, and deservedly so, Brown Bomber was mad clutch. For those of you not familiar with these nicknames, they are more stinging jabs than signs of affection. Brown's ability to over-dribble and end up taking a difficult shot grated on the soul. We can all be thankful that the current Suns don't have a guard with even remotely similar tendencies... As aforementioned,
disturbing interesting parallels.
Not to say that EB hasn't provided defense and intangibles that Brown didn't, but those of you who remember that Charlotte game know that Brown was every bit as responsible for single-handedly winning that game as Bledsoe was for the victory against Utah.
The point of this isn't to suggest that Brown is even remotely close to EB talentwise. It would be lunacy to suggest that Blade isn't a far superior player, but this little stitch in time did make me chortle. Besides, ball-stopping and decision making have been issues at times...
Making sense out of the senseless
So what does this all mean? Maybe something, maybe nothing.
Last season's team played a bunch of close games early on and fared well behind the heroic exploits of Shannon Brown.
This season's team played a bunch of close games early on and fared well behind the heroic exploits of Eric Bledsoe.
The Suns failed to execute in the waning moments of both games last week. Eric Bledsoe, P.J. Tucker and Markieff Morris all missed last second shots in Portland, while Goran Dragic and Channing Frye couldn't connect against Brooklyn. Any one of those five shots goes in and the Suns (very probably) go 1-1 instead of 0-2.
Do these types of games help build the confidence of a young team? It didn't seem to help the veterans last season. After starting 7-8 they crumbled, with losing streaks of seven, six and five games stretching through December.
But that team also got rode hard and put away wet a couple times in the early going, something we haven't witnessed from this season's team so far. Against the Nuggets and Nets things appeared to be unraveling, but the youngsters weathered the storm.
Bledsoe is seemingly regressing to his norm. After 9 games he has scored 65 fourth quarter points. After averaging 11.3 through four games, he averaged just four in the next five contests. That's still an average of 7.2 per game. That would most likely put him top five in the league in that category if he could maintain that pace. Which means this nine games is still probably above average.
Since the success of the team so far has been closely tied to the performance of Bledsoe, this may not bode well. Less than three weeks ago doubts swirled about EB's ability to succeed in a starting role. Now he is expected to carry a team of tyros. That's a tall order.
The Suns and Blade came back down to earth a little last week. Will the team return to a more celestial state or burrow into the outer crust? If the at least tenuous similarities I covered in this disquisition continue... The Suns better grab some gloves so they don't get blisters from that shovel.
This was a tough week for the Suns who started out the week well with a quality win against the Pelicans, only to finish with two back-to-back, heart-breaking losses that went down to the wire. Even so, the Suns certainly had some great moments among all of the heartache...led by a group of players who refused to lay down and quit. So who deserves to be named the Player of the Week?
Weekly Stat Averages:
Points: 20.6 FG%: .488 Assists: 5.3 Steals: 1.3 Rebounds: 3.75
Eric Bledsoe continues to be one of the most exciting players to watch in the league...not just on the Suns. Bledsoe is scoring all over the court and continues to lead the team in scoring while still packing up assists, rebounds, and even the occasional block on a seven-footer.
Although Bledsoe wasn't the 4th quarter closer this week that the fans have grown accustomed to, he still provided the Suns with plenty of scoring, and helped provide a spark to the offense on multiple occasions. Bledsoe continues to shine and give Suns' fans plenty of reasons to be excited.
Weekly Stat Averages:
Points: 15.0 FG%: .424 Assists: 4.2 Steals: 1.5 Rebounds: 1
Looking at the stat line alone, Dragic's week doesn't seem very impressive. However, anyone who saw the games and knows what happened during the week will certainly tell you how impressive the Dragon was in these last three games.
Dragic returned to the line-up against the Pelicans this Sunday, after injuring his ankle the week prior and missing a couple of games because of it. He came off the bench and was limited initially, but quickly picked up right where he had left off. Then, the day before the game against the Blazers, Dragic's wife gave birth to their first son, Mateo. Although he missed practice the day of, he returned to the team in time for the road trip to Portland. Dragic returned to the starting line-up and played extremely well through the first three quarters, but crashed into Mo Williams going after a loose ball and cut his eye/nose so badly that he had to exit the game and receive 13 stitches.
Dragic once again returned to the line-up against the Nets and gave his all, leading the team with 19 points and 10 assists...all with a bandage halfway covering his still swollen and bruised eye. There's no doubting Dragic's toughness, skill, nor his resolve to play hard and fight to the finish. His greatest attributes were all on full display throughout the week.
Weekly Stat Averages:
Points: 13.3 FG%: .500 Rebounds: 1.6
Miles Plumlee had a fairly good week overall, but struggled mightily against the Nets and was thoroughly outplayed by the taller and more refined Brook Lopez to end the week. So, it seems like a good time to give Gerald Green his due.
Night in and night out, Gerald Green is quietly having one of the biggest impacts on this dynamic Suns team. His athleticism is unreal, and he seems to have a knack in knocking down those big shots to help solidify the lead, or close the gap when the Suns need him most.
Gerald Green is in the process of reinventing himself as an NBA player, and is off to an outstanding start. He seems to have found the right fit on a young, exciting Suns team where he can grow along side the rest of the players.
Phoenix may have one of the most exciting, up-and-coming point guards in the league in Eric Bledsoe, but Goran Dragic is still the heart and soul of the Phoenix Suns. This week's award has more to do with the toughness, resiliency, and mental fortitude of the Dragon than just his stat line.
Goran Dragic's inspired play was cut short this week due to him coming off of one injury and receiving yet another. However, he never stopped fighting, attacking, and leading the team while he was on the court, and finished the week with one of his best performances of the season thus far.