The lucky numbers this week will be the score of the Suns/Timberwolves game Friday 3/22 and the points scored by Nikola Pekovic. Here's the skinny on this weeks contest, which is open to registered members of Brightside of the Sun.
Guess the score (and winner) of the Suns/Timberwolves game this Friday (3/22), e.g. Suns 107, Timberwolves 101. Once someone has picked a score the same score cannot be picked by another contestant.
Guess Nikola Pekovic's points. This will be used as a tiebreaker. For example, if the score is 107-101 and one person guesses 109-103 and another guesses 105-99 they will both be off by four points. In that event it will go to the tiebreaker.
Your entry should be in the form of a comment below. Example entry: Suns 107, Timberwolves 101 Nikola Pekovic 21 points
This week's prize is a Brightside of the Sun t-shirt (shipping included). The winner will be declared in the comments and notified by email to arrange for delivery of the prize.
Keep checking in as we will continue to have more contests like this (with various prizes) moving forward! Thank you all for listening, reading and participating. You guys rock. Good luck!
Here are the full legal terms and conditions for the contest: Contest Rules.
And here is this week's show: Phoenix Suns Podcast Episode 14
Last summer, Phoenix Suns fans spent a lot of pre-draft time focused on the shooting guard prospects that might go to the Suns with their #13 overall pick.
This year it's more about getting the best overall talent at ANY position. The Suns still have a gaping hole at the shooting guard position going into the offseason, but they have gaping long-term holes at just about every position.
Still, a young and dynamic shooting guard would be a boon to any franchise and the 2013 draft offers a number of quality prospects in the lottery.
A season ago, the Suns were hoping at least one or two of Austin Rivers, Terrence Ross, Dion Waiters and Jeremy Lamb would be on the board at #13 overall. In fact, many Suns fans (including me) thought the Suns would have their choice of at least two of those guys.
Bradley Beal, who was always out of reach, went #3 overall. Beal, by the way, started slow this season but has come on recently to show clearly that, yes, he was the best shooting guard prospect in that draft. On the small side in terms of measurables (6'3" and 207), Beal has shown real talent this season - averaging better than 15 points, 5 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 33 minutes per game since January 1. That's a good start.
Then Dion Waiters - projected as low as the 20s in April 2012 - went #4 overall to Cleveland. Waiters was known for his ability to create his own shot at the rim or on the 3-point line and had the physical tools to play defense (though not the evidence at Syracuse). Waiters' rookie reason has been up and down, but he's gotten a lot of minutes on a young team: better than 14 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists in 30 minutes per game since January 1.
Terrence Ross went next at #8 overall. Ross promised a good 3-point shot and tight defense, but little ability to create his own shot off the dribble and was allergic to contact in college. As a rookie, he's been a regular rotation player for Toronto but started only 1 game. On the season, he has put up 6 points and 2 rebounds in 16 minutes per game (drawing a two-shot foul every third game or so).
Austin Rivers was popped next at #10 overall by New Orleans. The combo guard with ice in his veins had what's been reported as a disaster rookie season on a team that needed him, yet he put up virtually the same numbers as Ross in a few more minutes per game - 6 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists in 23 minutes a game - before going down with a bad hand injury.
So, far not one of these guys' new NBA teams have won more games than the Suns this season (23).
The Suns' final chance at landing a shooting guard was Jeremy Lamb. We all know what happened with Lamb - he was taken at #12 overall, one spot ahead of the Suns, and later included in the famous James Harden trade. I won't belabor this any further than to say Lamb's rookie season has been non-existent on the bench of good teams. Lamb came out with a rep of being a sweet shooter who could defend, but was as allergic to contact as Terrence Ross.
Results for rookie guards in the NBA (including Damian Lillard who went #6 overall, after Waiters and Beal):
Where am I going with all of this?
Let me tell you: this year's crop of shooting guards may be BETTER than last year's, according to draft experts like our own Kris Habbas who runs the site nbadraftinsider.com and talks to scouts every day of every week and twice on Sundays.
Asked where he would rank the last two years' worth guard prospects at draft time (if they'd come out together):
Kris' rankings would be:
- Beal (Best SG prospect since Harden)
- Ben McLemore (Wait until he has an NBA PG passing him the ball)
- Marcus Smart (a little Baron Davis/Harden/Foye in his game; BIG strong combo guard)
- Otto Porter (Five tool talent, can do everything well)
- Shabazz Muhammad (Poor offensive body language, selfish scorer, limited)
- Victor Oladipo (Great energy, good athlete, Barbosa type, with vice grip D)
Different talents of course. Last years group were primarily scorers, this years group has more complete players with versatile games. Example, Porter may not score 20 points a night, but he defenders, passes, and plays off the ball well.
Kris offered more on the drop-off between Bradley Beal and Ben McLemore.
Beal has better ball skills, play-making and overall offensive talent.
McLemore has the frame, athletic, and size advantage on Beal, but is limited outside of shooting/transition offense. Don't get me wrong, McLemore is going to be a very good pro, but Beal has a higher ceiling in my opinion.
If the Suns win the Lottery, McLemore would be their guy, but he would also be Charlotte, New Orleans, Sacramento, Minnesota, and Cleveland's guy too.
Well, I'm not sure about Cleveland taking either Smart, McLemore or any of the shooting guards this season after taking Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters in the last two drafts. Unless they see Waiters as a super-sub 6th-man long term, that is.
But certainly, those other teams will be fighting the Suns for the best prospects, with the Suns being new to the crowd while the others are wily lotto veterans.
Kris has some final comments on last year's shooting guard prospects:
I was not enamored with Waiters, Rivers, Ross, or Lamb last year as Top 10 picks. Thought there was value in Waiters in the teens, value for Ross in the 20's, and that Lamb/Rivers were lottery type talents. By the way, Rivers career is not over. He is not playing well know, but could come back and be a very good player. My take on him was always Antonio Daniels, so I am not shocked he is playing average-to-below-average this year.
Here is Kris' Final Big Board before the 2012 draft. He says Waiters was only listed that high because so many scouts had him going up at the top like he ended up going.
If you're a fan of shooting guards, then you can look forward to this year's draft. If the Suns want to a guard, they will get a better prospect this year than they could have had last year.
But I don't expect the Suns to hone in on one position. They need the best talent regardless of position.
Here's the top 20, sorted by scoring average in their rookie season (what the Suns need no matter what the position):
Finally, here's Kris' 2013 Big Board. He has our top guards currently ranked as such:
Of Oladipo, he says: People love the story and the energy of a guy like Oladipo, but he is undersized and will hit an athletic wall in the NBA with equal talent.
Ranked #1 overall: Nerlens Noel
Chew on that, Suns fans!
There is no doubting Wesley Johnson's physical talent as a basketball player. The 25 year old 6'7" shooting guard with long arms, athleticism, and a sweet stroke, along with one of the most photogenic smiles you'll ever see, has all of the physical tools to be a great NBA player.
These attributes, combined with a solid three-season college career at Iowa St. and Syracuse are what helped him skyrocket to the fourth overall pick in the 2010 draft, ahead of players like Greg Monroe, DeMarcus Cousins, Paul George, and Gordon Hayward to name a few.
However, after only two sub-standard seasons with Minnesota, the Timberwolves decided to cut bait with the talented but so-far unproductive Johnson, and the Phoenix Suns were able to make a three-team trade that dealt Robin Lopez to the New Orleans Hornets while acquiring Smilin' Wes and a first round pick.
At first, the Suns and then head coach Alvin Gentry gave Wes a short leash, and Johnson was quickly relegated to spot minutes after failing to impress in the sporadic, small amount of time he had been given. In fact, prior to the All-Star break, Wes had played over 10 minutes in only four games.
And while there is no doubt that Johnson is also at fault for his lack of playing time based on his performance when given those minutes (Shooting just 31% from the field while averaging approximately 2 points and 1 rebound per game), one could certainly make the case that Wes was never really given a fair opportunity to find his niche.
However, all of that changed when Alvin Gentry was shown the door, and interim head coach Lindsey Hunter made the decision to start playing the young guys more. Since the All-Star break, Johnson's playing time has increased from 7 to 25 minutes per game, and his productivity has responded as well.
Post All-Star break, Johnson's overall field goal percentage has increased from 31%-42%, and he's averaging 10.1 points and 4.2 rebounds per game. Not only that, but when you look at his production as a starter his shooting numbers further increase. In the starting line-up, Wes is shooting 43% from the field and averaging 12.1 points a game.
So what will happen to Wes at the end of the season?
Well. if you recall, Phoenix declined Johnson's team option for 2013-14 prior to the start of the season; which was smart being that he was a gamble, and picking up the option would have guaranteed Wes a $5.4 million salary for next season.
Still, the Suns reportedly told Johnson at the time that they were interested in re-signing him at the end of the season, and Wes also reciprocated his desire to stay as well.
However, that was before receiving very little chance to play during the first-half of the season. So has anything changed since then?
As Johnson told Paul Coro of the Arizona Republic a few days ago, "I think this is a longtime place for me," Johnson said. "I told them from the jump that I wanted to be here. We’ll see how it plays out in July."
If Johnson can continue to produce the way he has with his increased playing time, I'm sure the Suns will make good on their original plan to re-sign Johnson at the end of the season, and it looks like Wes is very open to remaining in Phoenix as well.