Free agency is nearly upon us. With the Phoenix Suns looking to be major players, there is almost no way last season's roster remains intact. What are the odds of your favorite Sun remaining in Phoenix?

The Phoenix Suns' roster is about to undergo some changes.  Fan favorites will be lost, fan favorites will be gained.  Regardless of whether or not the LeBron James-Carmelo Anthony pairing comes to fruition, there will be blood.  The following players ended the 2013-14 season on the Suns' roster.  Below is my best guess at the odds of any one player being on the roster come tip-off of the 2014-15 season.

I'm not speculating as to how or why they will no longer be Suns because the possibilities are too myriad to contemplate at this point.  But I'm more than happy to speculate about whether or not they will be here at all.

Goran Dragic

As of right now, The Dragon is not just a fan favorite, but the face of the franchise.  He achieved new career heights this year and shows no signs of regressing to any kind of mean.  He's also a complete steal at $7.5 million.  It wouldn't be unwise for the Phoenix Suns to capitalize on his peak value by trading him as part of a blockbuster deal.  But considering owner Robert Sarver went out of his way to personally bring Dragic back to Phoenix, I think he's safe.

Odds of remaining a Sun: Does a Dragon breathe fire?

Channing Frye

Oh, Channing.  We love you.  We hate you.  You are the most polarizing member of this current squad.  Any opinion I state here is going to set off a tire fire in the comments section.  Well, here's the spark to that conflagration.  Frye's ability to space the floor and play both the 4 and the 5 were essential to the Phoenix Suns' success this year, especially with Alex Len on the shelf to start the season.  However, his production fell off toward the end of the year, he's has opted to test the free agent waters, and he will have suitors.  He's not exactly expendable, but he's not irreplaceable either.

Odds of remaining a Sun: 38.5%

Gerald Green

Gerald Green was an offensive terror for the Phoenix Suns this season.  He was conscience-free marksman from deep and an acrobatic madman on the break.  No other Sun provided highlights like Green last season.  He's also a journeyman whose career has been marked by inconsistency and a mediocre defender.  But for $3.5M, he provided a cheap and effective offensive spark as both starter and substitute.

Odds of remaining a Sun: About the same as having a second consecutive career year.

Alex Len

The fifth overall draft pick had a rough rookie year.  After starting the season injured and seeing his projected role as primary big man supplanted by Miles Plumlee, he played limited minutes in limited situations.  He flashed potential but is far from a finished product.  But he's a Ryan McDonough draft pick and a skilled if unpolished big man on a rookie contract.

Odds of remaining a Sun: Ukraine is game to you?! I take your little board and smash! (He's not going anywhere.)

Eric Bledsoe

Is he injury prone?  Does he want to be in Phoenix?  Can he lure LeBron James?  Can LeBron James lure him?  Eric Bledsoe is Phoenix Suns' restricted man of mystery.  Paired with Goran Dragi?, he was half of one the most effective backcourts in the NBA.  His athleticism and aggression were a perfect complement to Goran's craftiness and dead-eye midrange game.  He also missed a hefty chunk of the season due to knee surgery and will be looking for something in the neighborhood of a max contract.

Odds of remaining a Sun: He's played 240 of a possible 328 games in his career, so let's call it 73.2%.

Markieff Morris and Marcus Morris

The fact that I have to treat these two as a package deal might be problematic.  While Markieff shows considerable promise as a young power forward, Marcus' contributions as a small forward are less essential to this franchise.  Or any franchise.  Where as Kieff took his game to new heights this season and vied for Sixth Man of the Year, Mook looked like almost any other backup 3 in the league.  Markieff will have to blossom into a hell of a player for Marcus to be part of the price of obtaining his services for the rest of his career.

Odds of remaining Suns: The same odds as someone being able to correctly identify them without their jersey numbers.

Miles Plumlee

Miles started his career as a Sun by out-hustling Marcin Gortat in camp and then going bananas with double-doubles in his first two regular season games.  With his insane vertical leap and energy, he looked like a rich man's version of Lou Amundson.  However, as the season wore on, he looked more and more like just a taller Lou Amundson as his offensive game took a nose dive 2 feet from the rim and his defense involved more movement than effectiveness.  But he's young, cheap and tall and that doesn't exactly grow on trees.

Odds of remaining a Sun: Considerably better than his odds of making a free throw.

Archie Goodwin

Like fellow rookie Alex Len, The Mongoose had a bumpy rookie season.  While he showed flashes of potential (especially against like competition at Summer League), more often he looked like a 19 year-old kid finding his way in the man's world of the NBA.  He was always a project so that's not really a big negative.  He still oozes potential as a 2-way player with loads of athleticism.  And he's got the benefit of being a Ryan McDonough acquisition.

Odds of remaining a Sun: The same as him eventually making the Suns' Ring of Honor.  So, like 92%.

Ish Smith

Pharaoh Head, as I have affectionately been calling him for the last week, provided a decent change of pace to the brilliance of either Dragic or Bledsoe when he came off the bench.  He always gave his all and never backed down from a challenge.  Unfortunately, he frequently wasn't up to a lot of those challenges, especially if they involved creating offense.  And the Suns just drafted Tyler Ennis.

Odds of remaining a Sun: You saw this coming, right? 4.3%.

P.J. Tucker

Like Gerald Green, P.J. Tucker is a journeyman basket-baller who had a career year on this incarnation of the Cinderella Suns.  Unlike Gerald Green, Tucker made his living as a defensive and rebounding pitbull who surprised everyone by adding a corner 3 to his otherwise limited offensive repertoire.  Also unlike Green, he is due for a big payday this offseason.  Marcus Morris, on a mid-first round rookie deal, made twice as much as the guy he was backing up this season.  P.J. Tucker is going to get PAID by someone.  Thanks to Bird rights and restricted free agency, it's probably the Phoenix Suns.  But maybe it's not.

Odds of remaining a Sun: About the same as me crying for my mommy if I were ever to anger him.

Dionte Christmas

Dionte Christmas did... things for the Phoenix Suns this season.  He was a spirited cheerleader during games and by all accounts a spirited competitor in practice and just a big a locker room presence as anyone else on the team.  But none of that really translates into on-court production or wins and 12th men in the NBA are as interchangeable as Lego blocks.

Odds of remaining a Sun: It might be a cute saying, but there is no Christmas in July.  Except maybe at Summer League.

Leandro Barbosa

Leandrinho provided a heart-warming dose of nostalgia in his brief stint as a Sun this season.  He also provided some scoring punch off the bench in January and February while Phoenix was missing Eric Bledsoe.  Unfortunately, due to injury, he only played in 2 more games after February 19, ending the season on the Suns' inactive list.

Odds of remaining a Sun: Meep-meep.  In this case, he's the coyote and remaining a Sun is the roadrunner.

UPDATE: Forgot a couple of forgettable big men here.

Shavlik Randolph

Here's what I can tell you about Shavlik Randolph: He is a filthy liar.  His real first name is Ronald.  Why doesn't he go by Ronald Randolph?  Or even just Ron Randolph?  I'd by a used car from Ron Randolph or maybe even some wall-to-wall carpet.  But instead, he tried to trick us into calling him Shavlik.  Does he think he's a Viking or something?  I'm not buying a car from Shavlik and I'm certainly not signing him to the veteran's minimum.

Odds of remaining a Sun: The same as your first name being "Shavlik."

Emeka Okafor

Remember when Emeka Okafor was a great asset as an expiring contract?  He was going to be the missing piece in a big trade to put the Suns over the top.  Well, now he's a $19M cap hold (!) and actual impediment to getting anything done in free agency.  He will be renounced and his name will be forever emblazoned in the Never ORNG Hall of Fame.

Odds of remaining a Sun: Exactly equivalent to the number of minutes he played as a Sun.

What do you think?  Who's staying?  Who's going?  Lay your own odds in the comments.

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You thought the Phoenix Suns would be happy with just getting second tier guys? Think again.

Draft night has come and gone, and whether or not you're feeling good about the Phoenix Suns's haul of T.J. Warren, Tyler Ennis, and Bogdan Bogdanovich, there is at least one small silver lining to take away from the night; Kevin Love has still not been traded, which means that we can still entertain the possibility of the power forward making a new home in the valley. Tweets like these, from Minnesota sports beat writer Darren Wolfson, only add fuel to the fire:

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You better believe this has us going nuts. Are we delusional? Probably. We like to dream big. But hey, why stop there?

How does a core of Eric Bledsoe, Kevin Love, AND LeBron James sound?

I know, I know. It's a ridiculous hypothetical. But after the most recent Wojbomb, it seems like the Suns are putting the fullcourt press on LeBron. It's not as out there as you think.

Link: WojBOMB

Armed with an offer that no else in the NBA can make - a chance to partner with Carmelo Anthony on an instant championship contender - the Phoenix Suns are planning an aggressive pursuit of LeBron James on Tuesday, league sources told Yahoo Sports.

Suns officials understand the bid will be something of a long shot, but are determined to get a meeting with James to convince him how the possibilities of two full max contracts, a roster stocked with talented, young players and the chance to pick the superstar free-agent partner of his choice ought to make Phoenix one of his most appealing suitors.

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The Suns' flexibility allows for James to pick any free agent - this summer or next - for himself. It could be Anthony or Chris Bosh this summer, Kevin Love next summer.

Getting LeBron AND Love would take some crazy front office wizardry from Ryan McDonough, but it's well within the realm of possibility, and really, is it any crazier than James, Dwyane Wade, and Chris Bosh teaming up in Miami in 2010?  We would be remiss if we didn't at least have a discussion about the possibility, right...?

If I haven't lost you yet, let me break down how it would work.  LeBron James will become a free agent on July 1.  Unfortunately, a close relationship with Eric Bledsoe and a decent Suns 2013-2014 campaign probably won't be enough to sway the King to sign in Phoenix.  That means the Suns would have to turn Phoenix into a more attractive destination (the promise of a dry heat just isn't going to cut it).  The best way to do that is to land Kevin Love.

The Plan

You throw the kitchen sink Minnesota.  Anyone and everyone not named Bledsoe is expendable (remember, Bledsoe is going to be a key part in luring James to Phoenix).  It will require jettisoning many, if not all, of the assets Phoenix has painstakingly acquired over the last few years, but this is exactly what they were attained for.  For the Suns to come out on top of the Summer of Love, they would likely have to offer some combination of Goran Dragic (gulp), the Morris twins, either Alex Len or Miles Plumlee, and that juicy Laker's 2015 pick.  Even that may not be enough.  It might require giving back Minny's 2015 pick, or future Phoenix picks, or Gerald Green, and taking back contracts like Corey Brewer or Kevin Martin.  Fine, so be it.  It's all part of the plan.

The loss of Dragic would be tough to swallow, but it would be a necessary sacrifice.  Dragic, a player who could surely coexist on the court with Ricky Rubio, would be the selling point.  Flip Saunders is going to be in win-now mode as the new head coach, so he's going to want players who can actually win him games.

Let's say the trade looked something like this:

Phoenix gets:

  • Kevin Love
  • Kevin Martin

Minnesota gets:

That's a pretty good deal for both teams, and Minnesota isn't going to find anything much better than that.  Phoenix gets their All-Star and hangs on to Bledsoe, while Minny gets a wealth of young, quality players.   The Suns take on a little over $3.3 million in contracts, putting them at around $30.4 million on the books for 2014-2015, by my calculations (This is with Warren and Ennis's projected salaries being around $1.9 million and and $1.6 million, respectively).

Next comes Bledsoe.  With any luck, the Suns could sign Bledsoe up for a little less than the max before suitors come around, but the more likely scenario is someone will sign Bledsoe to a max offer sheet and Phoenix will be forced to match.  His max is projected to be around $14.2 million.  We're now looking at about $44.6 in salaries for the Suns, which would only leave them with $18.6 million to offer LeBron, more than a few sheckles short of his full max.  This would require renouncing Frye and P.J. Tucker's respective bird rights, as well.

Unless they get a little sneaky with the rules.  I'm no CBA expert, but I believe the Suns could get away with renouncing the bird rights to Frye and Tucker, signing LeBron to a full max, and then signing Bledsoe to his max using the Bird exception to exceed the cap.  This way, both players are paid the max amount of money possible.  In order for this to happen, however, Phoenix would have to convince Bledsoe to 1. Talk LeBron into coming here (shouldn't be a problem with newly acquired Kevin Love and their close relationship!) 2. Not sign any other team's offer sheets 3. Hang tight while they take care of LeBron, with a wink-wink that they will give him his max afterwards.

So, to recap, the Suns would:

  • Make the trade with Minny for Love and Martin, payroll at $30.4 million for the 2014-2015 season
  • Renounce the bird rights to Frye and Tucker to have access to $26.33 million in cap room
  • Sign LeBron to his full max (approximately $23.7 million a year)
  • Sign free agent x with rest of cap room (Maybe if we're lucky Frye or Tucker will take a big paycut to play with LeBron and Love)
  • Resign Bledsoe to a max contract, using his bird rights to exceed the cap

Dream Team Assembled

And with that, the Phoenix Suns instantly become the most entertaining team in basketball.  Try to imagine Love flinging a full court pass to LeBron for a breakaway jam.  Or Bledsoe slashing his way to the hoop and dishing it off for a Love three.  Saying James and Love would thrive in Jeff Hornacek's is an understatement; it's like it was made for them.  Frye had an impressive year as a floor-spreading big man on the Suns, and, although Love only shot a hair better than Frye, he would arguably shoot better in a system that catered to his shooting and found him more open looks.  James is the athletic small forward the Suns have not seen since Shawn Marion.  He becomes the go-to guy Phoenix has desperately needed, and his playmaking would nullify the team's shockingly abysmal assist rate.  Both James and Love give the team low-post options as well, something it sorely lacked outside of Markieff Morris last season.  With Bledsoe slashing, James playmaking, and Love destroying the post and three-point line, the Suns would jump from an already impressive offense to a top three offense (Kevin Love helped Minnesota rank third in offensive rating last year, so just imagine what he could do with LeBron and Bledsoe in a fast paced offense).

Love's shortcomings would become moot points on this wonderful hypothetical team; he could let LeBron handle the clutch duties and could be easily hidden on defense.  Plumlee proved to be a capable rim protector last season.  Bledsoe and James would be an absolutely nightmarish defensive tandem.  The rest of the team could pick up Love's slack, so long as he keeps up the good work on rebounds.

We've also never seen LeBron play with a competent point guard before (Sorry, Mo Williams).  Bledsoe is the perfect point guard for him, as he is, you know, mini-Lebron.  With Love spacing the floor, it's hard to imagine how much damage James and Bledsoe could do off the drive or pick-and-rolls.  Remember that play Phoenix used to run last year, where both Plumlee and Frye would screen Dragic's man, with Plumlee rolling to the basket and Frye popping out to the three-point line?  Now picture that with Bledsoe, LeBron, and Love.  That play is unstoppable.  Hornacek would have some new weapons to scheme for, and it would be interesting to see what he would come up with.

As far as the rest of the team goes, Plumlee and Martin would round out the starting lineup.  In a perfect world, which, let's be honest, this isn't far from one as it is, Phoenix would be able to talk one of Frye or Tucker into taking a paycut; they could be paid with that little bit of extra cap room after signing LeBron, or with the room exception after the team is over the cap.  If not, the Suns would have to find some other veterans to sign with that money.  The rest of the bench mob would consist of Archie Goodwin, Ennis, and Warren.  That unit is incredibly young, but ideally Goodwin would develop enough that he could start, and Martin could go to the bench to help balance things out.  Throw in a shooter, and the Bledsoe-James-Love core would be flanked with youth and shooting.  That's a contender.  Just imagine all of the small ball lineups Hornacek could tinker with.

But unfortunately that's all we can do with this scenario: imagine.  It's incredibly unlikely that Phoenix gets one of these guys, let alone both of them.  James and Love would both be perfect fits in the valley, but I wouldn't expect to see them donning the purple and orange next season.  Sure, cross your fingers, just don't hold your breath for them.  It's fun to pretend, though, isn't it?  And hey, if it doesn't work out this season, maybe LeBron will only sign a one year deal with Miami and Love will opt out from whatever team he lands on next year, and we can try this again in 2015.  Even a slim chance is some chance.  The thing to take away here, however, is that the Suns have a lot of flexibility to land big name players.  They have tons of assets to swing a trade, and tons of cap space to land a star free agent.  So don't be too upset if it's not Love or James; there are plenty of other options out there.

We caught up with most of the ValleyoftheSuns crew to gauge the Suns’ haul in the 2014 NBA Draft. 1. How surprised were you that Gary Harris, Rodney Hood and James Young didn’t get taken...

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The Suns have a ton of money to spend, enough to sign top free agent LeBron James to a max contract. Should their first plan of free agency fail, the backup options include a more realistic signing...

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